In the second quarter, Democratic affiliation stayed high, while Republican affiliation began to recover, increasing to 43%. With Trump's approval rating at a low point and Biden relatively popular in the first quarter, 49% of Americans identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic, compared with 40% who were Republicans or Republican leaners. battles rising inflation and yet another surge of COVID-19 infections, tied to the omicron variant of the virus. withdrawal from Afghanistan caused Biden's ratings to fall further, into the low 40s. A summer surge of infections tied to the delta variant of the coronavirus made it clear the pandemic was not over in the U.S., and Biden's approval ratings began to sag. 20, and his approval stayed high through the early summer as COVID-19 infections dramatically decreased after millions of Americans got vaccinated against the disease. 6, 2021, in an attempt to prevent Congress from counting the 2020 Electoral College votes.ĭemocrat Joe Biden enjoyed relatively high ratings after taking office on Jan. His popularity fell more than 10 points from Election Day 2020 as the country's COVID-19 infections and deaths reached then-record highs, he refused to acknowledge the result of the election, and his supporters rioted at the U.S. Republican Donald Trump finished out his single term in January, after being defeated in the 2020 election, with a 34% job approval rating, the lowest of his term. Shifting party preferences in 2021 are likely tied to changes in popularity of the two men who served as president during the year. Party Preference Shifts Follow Changes in Presidential Approval
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victory in the Persian Gulf War led by then-President George H.W. Republicans had a larger advantage only in the first quarter of 1991, after the U.S. The Republicans last held a five-point advantage in party identification and leaning in early 1995, after winning control of the House of Representatives for the first time since the 1950s. The GOP has held as much as a five-point advantage in a total of only four quarters since 1991. Democrats held larger, double-digit advantages in isolated quarters between 19 and nearly continuously between mid-2006 and early 2009. The Democratic lead in the first quarter was the largest for the party since the fourth quarter of 2012, when Democrats also had a nine-point advantage. The combined percentage of party identifiers and leaners gives a measure of the relative strength of the two parties politically.īoth the nine-point Democratic advantage in the first quarter and the five-point Republican edge in the fourth quarter are among the largest Gallup has measured for each party in any quarter since it began regularly measuring party identification and leaning in 1991.
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Independents are then asked whether they lean more toward the Republican or Democratic Party. Gallup asks all Americans it interviews whether they identify politically as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent. Gallup telephone surveys in 2021, which included interviews with more than 12,000 randomly sampled U.S. These results are based on aggregated data from all U.S. In the fourth quarter, 42% were Democrats and Democratic leaners, and 47% were Republicans and Republican leaners. In the third quarter, 45% were Democrats and Democratic leaners, and were 44% Republicans and Republican leaners. In the second quarter, 49% were Democrats or Democratic leaners, and 43% were Republicans and Republican leaners. adults identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic, while 40% identified as Republicans or leaned Republican. In the first quarter of 2021, 49% of U.S. party identification and leaning in 2021.
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